… Tests for direction are usually conducted with one-sided p-values, and there is a close …
Tests for existence can be conducted with one-sided or two-sided p-values, but the …

… Following Knorr-Held and Best,6 we introduce a shared component, which is relevant for
both diseases, plus an additional component for the residual variation, specific to only one of …

The lack of reproducibility of scientific studies has caused growing concern over the credibility
of claims of new discoveries based on ‘statistically significant’findings. There has been …

… As well as providing detailed information, informative sensitivity analyses can be conducted
using risk factor models. For example, the basic model suggested an increase in COPD …

… It turns out that L can inherit the nonzero pattern of Q so it can be sparse as well. However, …
zero mean GMRF with precision matrix Q, we compute the Cholesky triangle L and then solve …

In this paper we discuss auxiliary variable approaches to Bayesian binary and multinomial
regression. These approaches are ideally suited to automated Markov chain Monte Carlo …

We discuss tools for the evaluation of probabilistic forecasts and the critique of statistical
models for count data. Our proposals include a nonrandomized version of the probability …

We discuss methods for the evaluation of probabilistic predictions of vector-valued quantities,
that can take the form of a discrete forecast ensemble or a density forecast. In particular, …

… We will often write L(θ) for the likelihood if it is clear to which observed datum x the
likelihood refers to. … We will use the symbol L(θ) both for likelihood functions and kernels. …

A framework for the statistical analysis of counts from infectious disease surveillance databases
is proposed. In its simplest form, the model can be seen as a Poisson branching process …