@article {Tredennick098384, author = {Andrew T. Tredennick and Peter B. Adler and Frederick R. Adler}, title = {The relationship between species richness and ecosystem variability is shaped by the mechanism of coexistence}, elocation-id = {098384}, year = {2017}, doi = {10.1101/098384}, publisher = {Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory}, abstract = {Theory relating species richness to ecosystem variability typically ignores the potential for environmental variability to promote species coexistence. Failure to account for fluctuation-dependent coexistence mechanisms may explain observed deviations from the expected negative diversity-variability relationship, and limits our ability to predict the consequences of future increases in environmental variability. We use a consumer-resource model to explore how coexistence via the temporal storage effect and relative nonlinearity affects ecosystem variability. We show that a positive, rather than negative, diversity-variability relationship is possible when ecosystem function is sampled across a natural gradient in environmental variability and diversity. We also show how fluctuation-dependent coexistence can buffer ecosystem functioning against increasing environmental variability by promoting species richness and portfolio effects. Our work provides a general explanation for variation in observed diversity-variability relationships and highlights the importance of conserving regional species pools to help buffer ecosystems against predicted increases in environmental variability.}, URL = {https://www.biorxiv.org/content/early/2017/01/04/098384}, eprint = {https://www.biorxiv.org/content/early/2017/01/04/098384.full.pdf}, journal = {bioRxiv} }