PT  - JOURNAL ARTICLE
AU  - Katrine Turgeon
AU  - Kevin B. Reid
AU  - John M. Fryxell
AU  - Thomas D. Nudds
TI  - Compensatory responses by managers, commercial and recreational harvesters to variation in stock abundance of Lake Erie walleye (<em>Sander vitreus vitreus</em>)
AID  - 10.1101/061143
DP  - 2016 Jan 01
TA  - bioRxiv
PG  - 061143
4099  - http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2016/06/29/061143.short
4100  - http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2016/06/29/061143.full
AB  - Delayed quota adjustments, and/or lagged fishing effort and catch by harvesters, to changes in stock abundance may induce unstable population dynamics and exacerbate the risk of fishery collapse. We examined a 39-y time series of change to quotas by managers, and to effort and catch by both commercial harvesters and anglers, in response to changes in Lake Erie walleye abundance (Sander vitreus) estimated both contemporaneously and retrospectively. Quotas, commercial effort and catch were entrained by contemporaneous estimates of stock abundance. Recreational effort and harvest were not; they had better tracked abundance, as better estimated today, than did the commercial fishery. During the 1990s, a significant mismatch developed between the quota-driven commercial harvest and stock abundance that persisted until a new assessment process obtained. The quasi-open access recreational fishery, instead, freed anglers to respond better to stock abundance. Further elaboration of adaptive risk governance processes, including multi-model inference for stock assessments, may bode well to further reduce risk to fisheries imposed by lagged adjustments to variation in stock abundance.