PT - JOURNAL ARTICLE AU - Krzysztof Bartoszek TI - A Central Limit Theorem for Punctuated Equilibrium AID - 10.1101/039867 DP - 2016 Jan 01 TA - bioRxiv PG - 039867 4099 - http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2016/05/11/039867.short 4100 - http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2016/05/11/039867.full AB - Current evolutionary biology models usually assume that a phenotype undergoes gradual change. This is in stark contrast to biological intuition, which indicates that change can also be punctuated — the phenotype can jump. Such a jump can especially occur at speciation, i.e. dramatic change occurs that drives the species apart. Here we derive a central limit theorem for punctuated equilibrium.We show that, if adaptation is fast, for weak convergence to hold, dramatic change has to be a rare event.